The rate of drug overdose deaths has been steadily increasing in Tennessee over the past five years, and as with the other states, opioid drugs play a big role. Overall, Pennsylvania is a blue state 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. Biden rebuilt the "blue wall" and expanded the map Rust Belt states have been the base of Democrats' electoral map for a generation, but along with winning them back, Biden also expanded the. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. We are one people, all of us pledging allegiance to the Stars and Stripes, all of us defending the United States of America."[26]. Anita Trump aides were claiming high turnout in Republican areas in Luzerne, which is one of the three counties that flipped from supporting Obama to Trump in 2016. These maps provide a more detailed picture but themselves have various problems associated with classification of data. I'm watching to see what happens in Pennsylvania, Florida, North Carolina, Wisconsin and the Upper Midwest states which seems to be the most crucial for a potential Trump victory given the recent polling and his path to winning in 2016.I'm also watching to see what emerges as the chief issue for voters: the economy (which historically has favored Trump), or his administration's handling of Covid (where he has been far weaker in the polls). In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? Special elections, if any, are excluded. Out of. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote [40] At the same time, the 2020 U.S. presidential election marked the ninth consecutive presidential election where the victorious major party nominee did not win a popular vote majority by a double-digit margin over the losing major party nominee(s), continuing the longest sequence of such presidential elections in U.S. history that began in 1988 and in 2016 eclipsed the previous longest sequences from 1836 through 1860 and from 1876 through 1900. With all eyes on Georgia and the upcoming Senate runoffs slated for Jan. 5, 2021, Emory College Dean Michael A. Elliott hosted a panel discussion Dec. 2 examining Georgia's new swing-state status and future role in American politics from business, marketing . Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. The Bay State added more than 480,000 people last decade for a total population of 7,029,917 in 2020. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. Christopher On the expectation-setting remarked upon earlier from the Biden campaign about Florida, what are we to make of the fact that the campaign told me this a few days ago about Pennsylvania that "we can win without Pennsylvania," though they didn't think they'd needto? . McCain held the more suburban and rural areas of both the red and blue states, while Obama received the large majority of the urban city areas in all the states. Earlier this year, one election official said the rule could result in upwards of 100,000 mail-in ballots being thrown out. The state is widely considered blue-leaning, a trend which moves parallel with the growth of the Washington D.C. and Richmond suburbs. A measuring device or measuring instrument is a device to measure a physical quantity or degree of something in our lives every day. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. But What about Investing in Bonds? The state now has just half the 38 electoral votes it had a century ago. The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour). Anita And in a sign of how important PA is to the race, Biden tried to fend off Trump's attacks over fracking over and over. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. Redistricting 2021: Red states, blue voters Elaine Kamarck Thursday, September 30, 2021 FixGov After a COVID-19-related delay in getting out the census data, states across the country are now. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. However, the fun fact is that neither of the party national committees has officially accepted these color designations, though informal use by each party is becoming common. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. While Hillary Clinton dominated in Philadelphia, winning 82%, she only took a 475,000-vote edge out of the city, compared Barack Obamas 492,000 vote advantage in 2012. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Colored bars represent electoral votes by party. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? I think it's the state to watch. High turnout meant long lines, which remain active at some locations.(Any eligible voter in line by 8 p.m. is permitted to vote. Heres why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. Is Wisconsin a red state? Additional data from U.S. Census Bureau, MIT Election Lab and POLITICO reporting. As a result, the blue counties tend to be the smaller ones so blue is visually less represented than it should be based on vote totals. Same for GA senate races Charlie. Some maps use more classes, such as shades of red and blue to indicate the degree of election victory. Hi everyone from D.C.! Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. The crowd cheers as U.S. President Donald Trump speaks during a 'Make America Great Again' campaign rally at Williamsport Regional . Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. Like around the country, we're seeing. Includes 2016 Races for President, Senate, House, Governor and Key Ballot Measures. In September, just eight states had. If we just win one state between North Carolina and Georgia, then we could lose Michigan and Florida and still get over 270 electoralvotes.. Youve Answered Lifes Questions. Which ones are more politically competitive? [10][13], According to another source, in 1976, John Chancellor, the anchorman for NBC Nightly News, asked his network's engineers to construct a large illuminated map of the United States. [5] However, at that time, a maker of widely-sold maps accompanied them with blue pencils in order to mark Confederate force movements, while red was for the union.[6]. While all of these issues are concerning, none of them are too far out of the ordinary for issues that arise during any normal election year and this year was far from normal, with many expecting the worst in terms of potential disruptions and possibleconflict.". The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee also alluded the color scheme when it launched a national "Red to Blue Program" in 2006. States losing seats included Illinois, Michigan,. Related: Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state? That year, the crime rate was 3,620.15 crimes per . Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. List Of Blue States And Red States No. *Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Virginia has continued voting for the Democratic presidential nominees (as well as increasingly electing Democrats at the state level), leading to its being reclassified as a blue state in recent years. Error! China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. Pennsylvania, where the U.S. Constitution was written, was the second state admitted to the Union, officially becoming a state in December 1787. In fact, he said, some states may experience a "red shift," and even Pennsylvania's blue shift may change in the future as different voters adapt to the new absentee ballot system and counties that used to process them on election night stop doing so. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. Minnesota, New York, and Maryland, all of which Obama won state-wide, show this example with some exceptions. These are general election results for the years listed. Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. During Biden's final stop in the state yesterday at a drive-in rally in Pittsburgh, following his barnstorm of the state with his running mate Kamala Harris and their spouses, he said for the zillionth time that he doesn't want to banfracking. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . He won 56 percent to Trump's 43. It is not a blue state or a red state. But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. So will that number end up being less than 100,000, ornot? Nebraska's 2nd district flipped back into the Republican column in 2012 and 2016, but supported Democrat Joe Biden in 2020. Experts weigh in on swing-state status. Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. I just got off the phone with the City Commissioners office in Philadelphia, and they told me that all the machines that process mail ballots are up and running and that things are going smoothly. Blue States No. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. Nevertheless, both parties have adopted logos that use their respective colors i.e., a blue D for Democrats and a white GOP with a red elephant for Republicans. And since groceries are taxable, Idaho gives residents an annual credit to offset the fees (the credit amount is higher for seniors over 65). Republican But I've got news for them, too. Individually and collectively, they are not reducible to red or blue.[29]. Crime rate U.S. 2020, by state. Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. Three other regions were red before 2016 and got redder: the West, conservative Central Pennsylvania and the Dutch Country around Harrisburg and Lancaster. But two of those five losing states that voted for Trump Michigan and Pennsylvania surprised most analysts since they have been blue-leaners for several years. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. For example, due to the simultaneous contrast effect, the Bezold effect, and other factors, an area shaded light red surrounded by areas shaded dark red will appear even lighter. by The Hill staff - 10/24/14 6:00 AM ET. In 2018, the governor's race was settled by just 55,000 votes. When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? Losing Pa would seem to require picking up something bigelsewhere. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). How red or blue is your state? One smart PA Dem strategist told me he wanted Biden to get to 40% in the county. As such, a constitutional Republic form of government as the U.S. is (remember, America is not a democracy), could certainly be expected to vote for President Trump by an even wider gap in 2020. All states contain considerable amounts of both liberal and conservative voters (i.e., they are "purple") and only appear blue or red on the electoral map because of the winner-take-all system used by most states in the Electoral College. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Tennessee. All Rights Reserved. Idaho. And West Virginia is losing. After flipping red as a key swing state for President Donald Trump in 2016, former Vice President Joe Biden claimed Wisconsin's electoral votes today in what is being called one of the most important elections of a lifetime.. Wisconsin was a battleground state in the 2020 presidential election, and its 10 electoral votes were highly sought after by both candidates due to Wisconsin's . Both campaigns have armies of attorneys at the ready for PA and other states. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. Geographic borders associated with district numbers may have changed. But, in the coming days, Pennsylvania underwent what has come to be known as a "blue shift." Democrats had requested more mail-in ballots than Republicans had by a margin of two to one. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about how the vote will report this year. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. You have to beware with these reports, though. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. To take one random anecdote, my dad claimed there was a four-hour line in one polling place in my home county, York (a very conservativearea). [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. In recent elections, there have been a dozen or more truly competitive battlegrounds which could result in many various paths to 270 electoral votes. These "purple maps" are useful for showing the highly mixed nature of voting, but are extremely difficult to interpret in detail. Throughout much of this campaign cycle, Pennsylvania has been considered a hotly contested toss-up, and it has been the focus of several mail voting-related lawsuits. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. President-elect Joseph R. Biden Jr. took back Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin by surging in the suburbs. The Democratic or Republican party of a particular state may have policies that departsometimes greatlyfrom those of the national party, sometimes causing that state to favor one party in state and local elections and the other in presidential elections. Dec. 10, 2020. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. Pennsylvania's diversity is mostly on par with the rest of the nation. One source claims that in the elections prior to 2000 every state that voted for Democratic candidates but one had been coded red. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? (lighter shading indicates win 5%), Winner received plurality of the vote but did not receive an outright majority of the popular vote Save my name, email, and website in this browser for the next time I comment. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. As of 2020, fully 35 out of 50 states in the U.S. have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000. Is Missouri a red state? Where the 'Blue Wall' Was Strongest, and Where Cracks Appeared. Top sources of out-of-state housing demand viewing. But. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. In previous elections, the color assignments or even the actual colors used were often different. These are general election results for the years listed. Before you read the Blue States and the Red States list, lets find out how the naming of a state with color started! The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. Most issues involving misunderstandings or miscommunication about voting rules and laws were resolved by Election Task Force prosecutors by phone, and DAO prosecutors and detectives also responded to investigate incidents at polling sites in all six Philadelphia Police divisions. Eight of the districts gave Trump 58% or higher. 4, another 2020 red state. If Jimmy Carter, the Democratic candidate that year, won a state, it was lit in red whereas if Gerald Ford, the incumbent Republican president, won a state, it was lit in blue. This election cycle, voters in Pennsylvania were universally able to vote by mail in the general election. Which are solidly blue counties and red counties? We coach Little League in the blue states and have gay friends in the red states. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. That solved the problem. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. The. Continue with Recommended Cookies. In the 2008 elections, both parties received at least 40% from all sizable socioeconomic demographics, except that McCain (Republican) received 37% from voters earning $15,000$30,000, and 25% from voters earning under $15,000, according to exit polling. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? National conventions for both major parties increasingly feature the parties' respective colors, from the colors emphasized on convention podiums to the color conventioneers can be seen wearing on the delegate floor. Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? Tap or hover to see names. This threshold varies by state and is based on patterns of past vote reporting and expectations about . [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. In Nebraska, two of the five electoral votes go to the winner of the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's three congressional districts. PUBLISHED: November 5, 2020 at 11:39 a.m. | UPDATED: November 5, 2020 at 7:29 p.m. Pennsylvania's continued ballot count from the general election showed the state possibly flipping from red to . Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! In the three presidential elections since 2008, Indiana and North Carolina went back to supporting Republicans. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Biden didn't flip any counties in Georgia. California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. By 1996, color schemes were relatively mixed, as CNN, CBS, ABC, and The New York Times referred to Democratic states with the color blue and Republican ones as red, while Time and The Washington Post used the opposite scheme. because red and blue state designations . In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. In 2016, President Donald Trump won the state by .7%, which totalled about 44,000 votes, and flipped three counties from blue to red. The state has 20 electoral votes at stake in the presidential race. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. The Democratic states, comprising 242 electoral votes had all actually gone blue since 1992 - six straight elections. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. Here's the count: 2020: Charlie Many voters in Philly and the suburbs don't like fracking and want to ban it. If you're curious how long the streak is for each state, visit our 'Same Since' Electoral Map Timeline. Light bulbs on each state changed from undecided white to Republican . While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. Each state has one Senator in two of the three classes. The consent submitted will only be used for data processing originating from this website. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. [3][4] However, the perception of some states as "blue" and some as "red" was reinforced by a degree of partisan stability from election to election from the 2000 election to the 2004 election, only three states changed "color"; and as of 2020, 35 out of 50 states have voted for the same party in every presidential election since the red-blue terminology was popularized in 2000, with only 15 having swung between the 2000 and 2020 election. In fact, many of the Great Plains and Rocky Mountain states which voted for Bush are relatively sparsely populated (Nebraska, for instance, has a population similar to the island of Manhattan).