And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. However, these NFL teams should not be tossed aside because they lost the Super Bowl. 10. Minnesota Vikings +4500 (bet $10 to win $460 total), I want to like Minnesota as a buy-low team after rebuilding its defense.. Osi Umenyiora was the team's only starting Pro Bowler and the Giants trailed in every postseason game they played. If Watson doesn't play in 2021, the Texans will be competing for the top overall pick in the 2022 draft. The game did not feature nearly as dramatic an ending as the rest of the top-10, but it was a game full of Hall of Famers all playing at a high level. Arizona Cardinals +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Yes, they got older with J.J. Watt and A.J. Let's start in the 1980s, with a team led by Hall of Famers like Joe Montana, Jerry Rice and Steve Young For a franchise that was so consistently dominant in the 1980s, the 1988 version of the San Francisco 49ers sure seems mediocre. Star quarterback Phil Simms was injured during the playoffs, no player had more than 30 catches during the regular season and the team was carried by a great defense that allowed only 13.2 points per game. This was the year that Joe Montana and Steve Young alternated starts at quarterback until eventually Montana firmly took the reins down the stretch. Brett Favre was brilliant in his only Super Bowl win. The Jets just didn't look all that good on their way to the mountaintop. After power was restored, the 49ers turned what looked to be another big game blowout into a nail-biter that Baltimore won thanks to a goal line stand and some questionable San Francisco play-calling. Another dynasty toppled by Tom Brady, but the "Legion of Boom" should not be undersold. It was called the "Blunder Bowl" for a reason. A 4.47 shuttle is extremely rare. But the rest of the roster is important, too. They went 7-3 in one-score games last year and led the NFL in turnover margin (+11). There's talent on the Falcons, but they are such an unknown heading into 2021. If Baker Mayfield improves from last season's campaign, the Browns will contend for a Super Bowl in 2021. Jalen Hurts will not pull a When thinking about the 1990 season, it is hard to conjure up images of anything other than Buffalo Bills kicker Scott Norwood missing a potential Super Bowl-winning kick. Theres a reason teams from the NFC North are so low here, and its the schedule. Instead, Baltimore is here due to how poorly it played in its Super Bowl win. This isn't just about winning the closely contested division, though. I'd argue their offense was a little more productive, but that being said, the 1990 team still beat them out. The Worst Teams in NFL History to Win a Super Bowl Oh, and they had Terrell Owens, who was a superstar. To handle the uncertainty in the timing of Wentz's return, FPI gives the QB a very small chance to play in Week 1 and gradually increases the chance of his return until Week 8 -- spanning the range of the recovery timeline laid out last week by coach Frank Reich. This year, theres a chance theyre 4-0 heading into a week five game against the Cowboys. Four teams have yet to even reach the Super Bowl (two of them started as a franchise after 1990). Thats NFL history. Dallas got out to an early 10-point lead and never looked back. The Colts have the third worst odds at +15000, while the Texans have the worst overall odds at +30000. To no surprise: It's the Patrick Mahomes-led offense -- which includes Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill and a rebuilt offensive line -- that leads the way and is more than 2.5 points per game better than the next-best offense (Green Bay). So why are they lower value-wise? This one was actually pretty entertaining for the first 30 minutes. One playoff win and taking the Kansas City Chiefs to the brink last season opened opportunities for the Browns, who possess one of the most talented rosters in the conference. So its only fitting that the winner of Super Bowl 53 will have a defense that finished the regular season below the league average. The AFC North features two major Super Bowl threats in Baltimore and Cleveland. Not to mention, Reggie White wrecking people on defense. The NFC, with two of the top six teams in FPI rating, is a little less threatening than the AFC. Both of those teams went on to lose in the Super Bowl. Arizona has the potential to shock the NFL and win 11-plus games, emerging victorious in a strong NFC West. Discover unique things to do, places to eat, and sights to see in the best destinations around the world with Bring Me! The Chiefs rank No. An 11-win team with only 20.3 points per game. This team just wasn't ready yet. Sign up for the For The Win newsletter to get our top stories in your inbox every morning. 3 overall pick Trey Lance entering the season. He saved the team from the clutches of defeat and led a game-winning fourth-quarter drive. If we made Lance the starter or partial starter, it would hurt the 49ers' projection because the model assumes Lance is a little worse than Garoppolo, as of now. This game will be decided at quarterback, and the daring superstar who joins Brady as the only quarterback to appear in three Super Bowls in his first six seasons is the pick here. 9. Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns.Shaun Alexander had 1,880 rushing yards and 27 touchdowns! Search, watch, and cook every single Tasty recipe and video ever - all in one place! On the other side of the ball, Tom Brady & Co. are projected to be the No. The Ravens and Browns rank fourth and sixth in FPI rating -- basically true talent level -- but are fifth and seventh in chances to reach the playoffs and win the Super Bowl, respectively. FIFA World Cup - Best Goals from Every Angle, Draw for the FIFA Women's World Cup Australia & New Zealand 2023, C.J. 22. You may have been expecting one of the more famous Super Bowl results to land a little higher on the list. Is the offensive line good enough to protect Burrow from getting hurt again? The 10 Worst NFL Teams to Ever Win a Super Bowl - Sportscasting Indianapolis Colts +4000 (bet $10 to win $410 total), Preseason surgery to Carson Wentz and Quentin Nelson could put the Colts down for the count before the calendar turns to October.. Cam Newton had an MVP season to remember and ran an offense that produced 31.3 points per game. The Dolphins won their second consecutive Super Bowl in a game that was over well before the fourth quarter. Atlanta Falcons +6000 (bet $10 to win $610 total), New coach, new offensive coordinator just too much newness for me., That being said, going 2-8 in one-score games last year was a killer, and if the ball bounces differently in 2021, maybe theyre hovering around .500. One could argue the Steelers have the worst QB in the division in 39-year old Ben Roethlisberger, who had 10 interceptions in the teams final seven games. Plenty of star power like Todd Gurley, Brandin Cooks, Aaron Donald, and Ndamukong Suh. Jaguars won't spend big, but here are five players they could target in free agency, The most memorable pre-NFL draft workouts ever: Coaches, scouts, execs make their picks, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Raiders tag Josh Jacobs, the NFL's rushing leader. Brady and Belichick established the Patriots as a dynasty with their third Lombardi in four years. Allen set the Bills' franchise record for passing yards in a season (4,544) and passing touchdowns (37), finishing with a 107.2 passer rating. Unfortunately, they had to go head-to-head with arguably the greatest defense of all-time in the '85 Bears. 1 seed in the AFC (32%) and reach the Super Bowl (30%). This time, he didnt need a miracle catch to beat New England thanks to his sublime pass to Mario Manningham on the game-winning drive. A great passing defense helped elevate this Vikings team to a 122 record. A four-game stretch bridging October and November vs Bills, vs Chiefs, at Colts, at Rams should seal their fate. Theyve won 35 regular-season games in the last three seasons for a reason., When narratives build for example, that Lamar Jackson cant win in the playoffs you can find an edge fading them., 1. Peyton Manning was on another level this season, leading his offense to score a jarring 37.9 points per game, but the team around him was lacking. Washington led 24-3 at one point. This is how good the NFC West is: There's a 37% chance that three of the four teams reach the playoffs, and there's even a 3% chance that all four get in. The Bucs finished the season, including playoffs, with the sixth-most efficient defense under coordinator Todd Bowles. 113 career TDs compared to 129 interceptions says that he doesn't deserve that victory. Complete team-by-team FPI projections The run offense needs to be stronger with Devin Singletary and Zack Moss as the offensive line has to create better holes up front to take the pressure off Allen. The Titans defense added Bud Dupree and Caleb Farley, but it may not be enough to make the the 24th-ranked unit (in points allowed) Super Bowl-caliber. Peyton Mannings struggles reinforced the notion that he could be great in the regular season but collapsed in the playoffs. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. This team is starting to scratch the surface of its potential. And the NFC South doesn't have any other teams ranked in FPI's top 10. Green and Rondale Moore at wide receiver. Keep in mind, the Larry Fitzgerald touchdown catch (pictured above) was to go ahead with 2:37 left in the game. Id say so, yes.. Super Bowl MVP Pick. The 49ers' projection is based on the assumption that Jimmy Garoppolo is the starting quarterback. Unless Tua Tagovailoa makes a Josh Allen-type leap and the offensive line improves, theres just no shot at the Super Bowl. 14. The Bills are good enough to get to the Super Bowl this year -- and win it. (Hey, at least it worked out for them with Trevor Lawrence being available.). If the Kansas City Chiefs didn't have a generational quarterback in Patrick Mahomes and a Hall of Fame head coach in Andy Reid, the Bills would have reached their first Super Bowl in 27 years. This Bills team should have won a Super Bowl and it is hard to believe looking back. The game that confirmed Joe Flacco was elite. FPI then uses those ratings to simulate the season 20,000 times to create projections. Tom Brady also led a top offense in his MVP season, finishing with a 133 regular-season record. Id have to guess the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. They had an outstanding defense, and thats what won them the Superbowl, but they didnt score many touch They had an unimpressive 115 record, but the 2002 Raiders were a well-balanced, finely tuned machine. 32. With a 19% chance to win the Super Bowl, the Chiefs are a bit above average for the league's favorite heading into the season. He also has the most game-winning drives and tied for the most fourth-quarter comebacks in that span. 3. and quarterback rating (112.4). Before arriving at FOX, he created the website The Big Lead, which he sold in 2010. A 142 record with the seventh best defense in points scored against in the league. FPI considers Houston more than a touchdown worse than an average NFL team on a neutral field and believes the Texans simultaneously have the worst offense and worst defense in the league. to win The 1991 Redskins might be the greatest team in NFL history, which bumps this game up a few spots. What was the worst defense to win the Super Bowl? : r/nfl While Kansas City's 19% chance to win the Super Bowl might be more than any other team's, FPI is also saying that there's a 4-in-5 chance that a team other than the Chiefs will win the Super Bowl. Dilfer bounced around many teams in his career, but he was lucky enough to helm the Baltimore Ravens to a Super Bowl victory on the strength of their history-making defense. Allowed 173 yards per game on the ground lmao this1dude88 Chiefs 4 yr. ago That defense became dominant Ranked below are the 20 worst NFL players to win a Super Bowl since 2000. For the 2021 version of FPI, we made some under-the-hood improvements, including an updated expected points added model and a better predictive quarterback rating system. The universe wont let the Vikings back in the Super Bowl because all of the ones they made in the 70s ended up being unwatchable. There were great pieces, but the team was not performing at its peak. Ranking 12 teams that never won a Super Bowl by best chance At 10-4-1, this Broncos team was better balanced than the '86 team. Reggie White was downright unblockable. If the Saints slip a bit, there's a spot open for the Panthers to take a leap in 2021. Well, they blew their lead in the big game, but they also weren't a great defensive team. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. As Kansas City Chiefs and San Francisco 49ers went back and forth to win the title, Super Bowl LIV is the 13th-best Super Bowl on our list. The Bills ended up with the most wins in a season (13) since 1991. A 14-win team with a top 10 offense and defense. Stefon Diggs is one of the game's best wide receivers and Gabriel Davis is one of the underrated young wideouts in the league. Denver came in with a historically good offense. But we are going to look past that kick for just a minute. ELEVEN! Matt Ryan was an MVP and led the best offense, but the defense surrendered 25.4 points per game. However, New York went just 10-6 in the regular season. Michael Strahan and Keith Hamilton combined for 19.5 sacks, and the team had 44 total. As of now, FPI is working under the assumption that two rookies -- the Jaguars' Lawrence and the Jets' Wilson -- are their respective teams' current starters. The first of the Steelers-Cowboys Super Bowls gave us those beautiful NFL Films shots of Lynn Swanns acrobatic catch. Yes, the New York Giants knocked off the 18-0 New England Patriots. Both halves of this one were capped off by remarkable plays. Here they are ranked: It was a lot of fun to research these teams to remember just how good they were their respective seasons. That doesn't even sound like a real record, let alone a division winner. Throw in Trent Dilfer leading the other offense and a game that was never competitive, and this is easily the worst Super Bowl of all-time. 23. This Super Bowl had it all: An underdog story (Nick Foles), a memorable play (Philly Special), a controversial coaching decision (Belichick benching Malcolm Butler), a ton of points (a record 74 points combined!) 12:11 pm ET, NFL combine 2023 tracker: Top performances, highlights, Jones assures Cowboys still interested in Beckham, NFL Combine 2023: Colossal Richardson breaks QB records, NFL combine measurements: Full list of WR, TE numbers, Jackson Mahomes accused of assault at Kansas restaurant, Agent's Take: Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Teams that never won SB that have best chance in 2021, Mock Draft: Panthers, Colts trade up for QBs, Rodgers' trade value, logistics, best fit, Richardson breaks QB record in vertical jump, Pascal robbed at gunpoint, assaulted; WR 'doing fine', Bryce Young measures similar to former No. Take note: This isn't technically a ranking of the teams from very worst to very best, although the worse teams tend to be toward the bottom and the better teams toward the top. Don't sleep on the rest of the league, of course. Ron Jaworski, Harold Carmichael, and Wilbert Montgomery all had a part in this offense. Jim Plunkett, a 33-year-old signal-caller at the time, was plucked off the bench early in the season and was the catalyst for the team making the playoffs, but even he only threw 18 touchdowns compared to 16 interceptions. The Vikings have made the playoffs every odd-year season since coach Mike Zimmer took over in 2014, which bodes well for them in 2021. QB | RB | WR | TE With that criteria in mind, weve ranked every Super Bowl ever played from worst to first. Slightly. Maybe the most controversial one on the list. It all makes for a nice story, but the fact remains that the Giants were not a superb team. You have a few precious hours left to scout rosters, analyze schedules, weigh injuries and place your futures bets on who is going to win Super Bowl 56. Peyton Manning needed the Saints and Tracy Porter to not come marching in.