AP will tabulate and declare winners in 55 contested elections in New Mexico, including Governor, three U.S. House races, seven other statewide races and six statewide ballot issues. In the Sanderoff poll, Lujan Grisham is faring better among voters in north-central New Mexico, a Democratic stronghold that includes Santa Fe, Taos and Rio Arriba County. Earlier in October, Lujan Grisham asked Attorney General Merrick Garland to send more FBI agents to New Mexico to bring down the crime rate. In most races, this is not enough of a shift to affect the outcome of a race, but in especially close races, this may cause AP to delay calling a winner in a particular race. Another 6 percent are undecided. See election results, a county-by-county map and more for the New Mexico Governor election on Nov. 8, 2022. Related: Poll: Lujan Grisham even approval/disapproval ratings. Lujan Grisham holds a large lead among those who voted for Biden in 2020, 86 percent to 6 percent, with 4 percent saying they would vote for Bedonie. Among men, the race is actually a tie between Michelle Lujan Grisham and Mark Ronchetti and so women are making a difference, trusted pollster Brian Sanderoff, whose New Mexico-based firm conducted the Albuquerque Journal poll, said Monday. In the state House of Representatives, Democrats are defending a 45-24 majority as one unaffiliated legislator and the House speaker retire. As it turns out, the two most likely seats to flip may be Maryland and Massachusetts, where popular Republican governors are leaving office, and the GOP . The lead for Lujan Grisham is within the margin of error for the poll. During Lujan Grisham's term as governor, New Mexico's crime has surged leaving the state with the second highest crime rate and 13th-highest homicide mortality rate nationwide in 2020, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention data showed. Democratic strongholds are in and around Albuquerque and Santa Fe, while much of the rest of the state favors Republicans. ET on Wednesday, with the remaining votes counted in 2020 by 7:30 p.m. RacetotheWH launched in the 2020 election cycle, and our forecast was one of the nation's most accurate. The official county tabulation starts on November 18 while the state tabulation starts on November 29. NM Political Report (https://nmpoliticalreport.com/2022/10/10/lujan-grisham-leads-governors-race-by-8-points/). Results: Michelle Lujan Grisham Vs. Mark Ronchetti: New Mexico's FOX NEWS POWER RANKINGS: REPUBLICANS EXPECTED TO CONTROL HOUSE, BUT BOTH PARTIES HOLD ON TO PATHWAYS IN SENATE. Michelle Lujan Grisham is running against Mark Ronchetti. Republican candidate Mark Ronchetti is running against Democratic incumbent Gov. If youre undecided at this point, I think youre less likely to be voting for the incumbent, Sanderoff said. One of the prominent platforms Grisham is running on is protecting abortion access for New Mexico residents. A poll released on Monday showed a closer race than two other polls released earlier in the week. Download this stock image: Former New Mexico governor, Libertarian presidential candidate Gary Johnson, left, stands with his vice presidential running mate, former Massachusetts governor William Weld during a campaign rally Thursday, Aug. 25, 2016, in Concord, N.H. (AP Photo/Jim Cole) - 2MY2F3B from Alamy's library of millions of high resolution stock photos, illustrations and vectors. As has been the case in previous polls, Lujan Grishams lead is buoyed by support among women. According to the Albuquerque Journal, Grisham raised in excess of $11.1 million, as of October 3. The race between Grisham and Ronchetti was rated as "lean Democratic" by Inside Elections, "lean Democratic" by The Cook Political Report, and "leans Democratic" by Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Market data provided by Factset. Democrats have consolidated control over all three branches of state government since Lujan Grisham succeeded a termed-out Republican governor, including commanding majorities in the Legislature. Lujan Grisham holds narrow lead in New Mexico governor's race: poll 2022 governor's race, according to poll results . Grisham is favored to hold onto her seat that she won four years ago, according to FiveThirtyEight. Quotes displayed in real-time or delayed by at least 15 minutes. Opinion Polls: Delphi's Polling Place - Welcome to Arizona - I realize that the article is from New Mexico and may not have their facts straight, but I couldn't help but notice that New Mexico is not the only state receiving Arizona patients. View all Michelle Lujan Grisham articles . A: There can be a slight shift in votes counted after noon ET on the day after Election Day. How even a relatively minor change in the conduct of judiciary elections in Texas proved too big a step for Governor Bush For more than 75 years, reformers have been arguing the merits of "merit . New Mexico's 2nd District. Nm Special Election Results - ELECTION GHW New Mexico adopted campaign contribution limits in 2009 after a period in which then-governor Bill Richardson gathered donations exceeding $100,000, including a political action committee that . The most populous counties in New Mexico are Bernalillo, Dona Ana, Santa Fe and Sandoval. New Jersey Governor Elections. A bill that would require new homes to be built with the capability to charge electric vehicles and would require contractors to offer solar arrays for new homes passed the House Energy, Environment and Natural Resources Committee on a 7-4 vote on Thursday. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. 2022 election - Albuquerque Journal By Margaret O'Hara, The Santa Fe New Mexican Students from Jos Eduardo Cervantes' third-grade class at Bernalillo Elementary School are in agreement: It's good to be bilingual. AndrzejDuda2020 (Legalist) 14. The last time the president's party won New Mexico's governor's race was in 1986. In this case, we happen to have a female Hispanic candidate, too, which might amplify that.. A bill that would allow people who purchase fishing or hunting licenses to round up to the nearest dollar to fund youth programs unanimously passed the state Senate on Friday. ET on Thursday. Meanwhile, former President Donald Trump endorsed Ronchetti on Monday on his social media site, Truth Social. Michelle Lujan Grisham holds a narrow lead over Republican nominee Mark Ronchetti at the start of the general election campaign. Bill Richardson. Senate Polling. Ronchetti lost the 2020 U.S. Senate election to Democrat Ben Ray Lujn 51.7 percent to 45.6 percent with Libertarian Bob Walsh taking 2.6 percent. The incumbent governor will be determined in 2024, as New Hampshire elects their governors in a two-year cycle. ALBUQUERQUE, N.M. (AP) A 14-year-old New Mexico boy accused of shooting and killing a classmate in 2021 has pleaded no contest to a charge of second-degree murder, prosecutors said Thursday. Michelle Lujan Grisham in her race for reelection this year, according to a recent internal polling memo. Gov. Choose wisely! Democratic incumbents are viewed as safe in the states central and northern districts. More than 210 Republicans who questioned the 2020 election have won seats in the U.S. House and Senate and in state races for governor, secretary of state and attorney general, according to . New Mexico's best political reporting. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. President Joe Biden had a 10 percentage point margin of victory in 2020, and the state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections in 2004, George W. Bush won the state by a slim margin of less than 1% of the vote. ET. With Democrats maintaining a large lead in the state House of Representatives and Governor Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected for another four years, the Legislature is in a position to pass reproductive rights legislation, according to a Democratic legislator. State Rep. Linda Serrato, D-Santa Fe, called the next two years crucial to passing reproductive rights legislation. However, Republicans are feeling bullish about their chances in New Mexico, thanks to a more favorable national environment in 2022. Not all percentages will add up to 100 percent because of rounding. Welcome to Arizona [opinionpolls 4053.420] Her opponent, Ronchetti, raised more than $7.8 million, as of October 3. Nigeria's Tinubu defends win in disputed presidential poll How Should We Select Judges? | Justice For Sale - PBS Show Transcript. Should a candidate declare victory or offer a concession before the AP calls a race, we will cover newsworthy developments in our reporting. * Incumbent Small group of donors giving most money in New Mexico governor race Find your local elections. If five polls are found, and there are other qualifying polls on that same calendar date, those will also be included. The memo, provided to Breitbart News, shows results of a poll conducted by Cygnal among 531 likely general election voters. This is an increase in the gap between the two top contenders from a June NM Political Report poll which showed Lujan Grisham leading with 45 percent of supporters to 42 percent for Ronchetti and 9 percent for Bedonie. Related: See Michelle Lujan Grishams approval rating. New Mexico. The poll found that Lujan Grisham, a Democrat, leads Republican challenger Mark Ronchetti 48 percent to 40 percent among likely voters, with Libertarian candidate Karen Bedonie getting the support of 7 percent. 51 +1. Michelle Lujan Grisham, Eddie Moore/AP; Insider, state voted for the Democratic candidate in seven of the last eight elections, Sabato's Crystal Ball at the University of Virginia Center for Politics. Trump leads new poll heading into 2024 Republican race; DeSantis stays Prior to being elected governor, she represented the 1st Congressional District in the US House for three terms and chaired the Congressional Hispanic Caucus during the 115th Congress. By Margaret O'Hara, The Santa Fe New Mexican Students from Jos Eduardo Cervantes' third-grade class at Bernalillo Elementary School are in agreement: It's good to be bilingual. An email message containing instructions on how to reset your password has been sent to the e-mail address listed on your account. There was a problem saving your notification. Businessman Perry Johnson announces 2024 presidential bid Stay up to date with what you want to know. He was the Republican nominee for US Senate in 2020, and was defeated by Sen. Ben Ray Lujn, then-incumbent representativeforNew Mexico's 3rd Congressional District. Invalid password or account does not exist. Market data provided by Factset. Corcoran wrote Lujan Grisham is campaigning all over the state, emphasizing how much is on the line this election.. That speed comes, in part, because elections officials can start validating absentee ballots starting five days prior to Election Day. Albuquerque is located in Bernalillo County. In 2018 and 2020, those votes after noon ET on Wednesday were slightly in favor of Democrats, but they shifted the vote totals by less than 1% of the vote. We won't share it with anyone else. Fox News Flash top headlines are here. Michelle Lujan Grisham reelected as New Mexico's governor Republicans Crowd Into Primary Race for Governor, Congress ET. A poll released Monday by an Albuquerque TV station showed incumbent Gov. Public Policy Polling called landlines and text messaged those without landlines. Refresh page for latest results. Top editors give you the stories you want delivered right to your inbox each weekday. Bedonie is a former Republican congressional candidate. Ronchetti, meanwhile, leads among Trump voters 88 percent to 8 percent for Bedonie and 1 percent for Lujan Grisham. Johnson, who tried to run for Michigan governor . While were still seeing COVID cases, our preparedness and collaborative work have helped turn a once-in-a-century public health emergency into a manageable situation, Lujan Grisham said in a statement on Friday. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. Send us an email. Counties are colored red or blue when the percent of expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Its not unusual for there to be a gender gap in polling in general, he added. Nearly one in five registered voters in New Mexico have cast ballots absentee or in person so far, according to data released Monday morning by the New Mexico Secretary of States Office. Poll: Half Of Americans Financially Affected By Coronavirus The AP will not call down-ballot races on election night if the margin between the top two candidates is less than 2%. Your real name will be displayed next to your photo for comments, blog posts, and more! Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? Additionally, 60,088 voters have cast early-in-person ballots. I suspect the race will narrow a little.. See live New Mexico election results for governor in 2022. Albuquerque Police detectives found what they think may be illegally obtained campaign contributions while investigating Solomon Pea and the shootings he allegedly masterminded. Lujan Grisham has also done a better job locking down her party, with 81 percent of Democrats backing the incumbent, while 14 percent back Ronchetti and 1 percent support Bedonie. or redistributed. 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. SANTA FE, N.M. - The latest poll on the race for the governor in New Mexico is giving Republican Mark Ronchetti a slight edge in the race. The poll of 806 likely voters was conducted by Public Policy Polling on Oct. 6 and 7 and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points. Democratic New Mexico Gov. New Mexico Governor 2022 Election - Polls and Predictions - Race to the WH By Daniel J. Chacn, The Santa Fe New Mexican At the halfway point of the 60-day legislative session, New Mexico's proposed budget is halfway to the governor's desk. Central Java Governor Ganjar Pranowo was the frontrunner according to a survey by pollster Litbang Kompas conducted in January, backed by 25.3% of the 1,202 respondents. Poll: Half Of Americans Financially Affected By Coronavirus RT @LawlYayman1: Do you approve of my time as Governor & Senator of New Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window), Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Poll: Lujan Grisham even approval/disapproval ratings, Slight majority of voters give thumbs up to Gov on COVID response, House passes bill to protect LGBTQ community from discrimination, Senate passes 1st major gun control law of session, Lujan Grisham to end state's COVID-19 public health emergency, APD investigating alleged political shooting mastermind's campaign finances, Lujan Grisham outlines legislative priorities at inauguration, 2022 Top Stories #4: Democrats sweep congressional races, New Mexico Democrats hold abortion rights rally in Las Cruces, Poll: Lujan Grisham leads governors race by 8 points, Poll: Lujan Grisham widens lead over Ronchetti, Legislator: Democrats have crucial time to pass reproductive legislation, Michelle Lujan Grisham wins a second-term after bruising campaign, How a new governor could impact reproductive policy, Senator: Mountain unlikely to get confirmation hearing during session, Governor nominates regents for New Mexico colleges and universities, Poll: Narrow lead for Lujan Grisham in gubernatorial race, Polls: Lujan Grisham leads by high single digits in reelection campaign; Dems lead in other key races, Poll shows majority of NM voters support abortion rights, Lujan Grisham to end states COVID-19 public health emergency, Bill supporting Game and Fish youth programs passes Senate, Bilingual education advocates push for an increased focus, opportunities, Bill requiring EV charging capabilities in new home construction advances, Another medical malpractice fix bill tabled. Democratic Primary Results. HB 207, Expand the Human Rights Act Scope, is sponsored by state Rep. Kristina Ortez, D-Taos. They also say their governor is doing a better job than the president is. 2026 United States gubernatorial elections - Wikipedia This whole abortion issue and how it played out in the campaign works to the advantage of the governor, Sanderoff said, adding Democrats are using similar strategies throughout the nation. Ronchetti ran unsuccessfully for Senate in 2020 while coming within 6 percentage points of an experienced rival from a Democratic political dynasty. Lujan Grisham leads in New Mexico governor's race: poll As a result, once the house returns to full. Live New Mexico election results from the 2022 midterm elections including Senate and House races and ballot initiatives. NM set for competitive governor's race - Albuquerque Journal New Mexico Election Results 2022: Live Updates Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party. The states COVID-19 public health emergency will come to an end at the end of March, a little more than three years after the governor first issued her executive order over the deadly respiratory illness. We have election results for the race for the open seat in new mexico's 1st congressional district. Updated: Mar 3, 2023 / 09:13 AM MST. Early voting in the state started on Oct. 11 and ended on Saturday. 100% Reporting *Incumbent. A bill to expand the scope of the New Mexico Human Rights Act to include protections for the LGBTQ community passed the House by 47-to-20. Indonesia presidential candidate pledges to deliver Jokowi's new New Mexico is a reliably blue state, having voted for the Democratic candidate in the last four presidential elections. Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? Ronchetti did really well in Farmington, but thatll be somewhat offset by the rest of the northwest region, including in McKinley County which is very Democrat, Sanderoff said. April 23, 2021 - New Mexico's next gubernatorial election is a year and a half away - not a long time when it comes to political campaigning. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. A bill to expand the scope of the New Mexico Human Rights Act to include protections for the LGBTQ community passed the House by 47-to-20. You have permission to edit this article. Redistricting after the 2020 census has made U.S. House District 2 more competitive, by adding more Democrats to the district. Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers major. Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) holds a 3-percentage point lead over Republican Mark Ronchetti in the New Mexico gubernatorial race, according to a new Emerson College Polling-The Hill survey relea In the 2020 general election, AP first reported results just before 9:30 p.m. Here are some of the closest - and most closely watched. Poll: Lujan Grisham with narrow lead at start of general election Ronchetti has advocated for a ban on abortion after 15 weeks of pregnancy, except in cases of rape, incest and when a mothers life is at risk. Polls from firms that are banned by FiveThirtyEight are not shown.